Golf Outright review

Bets: 988

Stakes: 161.45

Profit: 31.7

ROI: 19.63%

Compared to snooker (good variance) and Place model (average variance or above) the Golf Outrights feels like a tale of woe with so many near misses at huge prices, nevertheless that is my style and the reason that Snooker and place model push back against the higher variance.

Notable results B365 settled wins and near misses

Sentry – Harman placed 66/1

Sony – Eckroat FRL placed 100/1

Dubai – Haotong Li 125/1 dead heat 1st FRL and placed 300/1 in outright

Farmers – Finau placed at 25/1, Yu placed at 125/1

RAS – Shinkwin placed 100/1

Genesis – Hideki Matsuyama 75/1 1st and Zalatoris 50/1 place

Mexico Open – Jake Knapp 1st 50/1 and Del Solar placed FRL at 100/1

SDC Open – Robin Williams 150/1 runner up, traded 1.10 and Ravetto 100/1 placed traded 2.20 also, Davidse

Players Championship – Brian Harman 66/1+ 2nd and Hideki Matsuyama 33/1 placed

Singapore Open – Barnrat dead heat first 80/1

Indian Open – Manessero 80/1 placed

Masters – Cam Smith 50/1 placed

Heritage – Straka 70/1 placed

ISPS China – Katsugawa 1st 125/1

Soudal – Elvira 1st at 801

CSC – Davis Riley dead heat FRL 200/1

European Open – Moller Hojgaard 40/1 and Migliozzi 50/1 both traded lower than 2.20

LIV Houston – Martin Kaymer FRL joint 1st 100/1

US Open – Hideki Matsuyama placed at 50/1

Rocket Mortgage Classic – in-running 20/1 Cam Davis 1st

BMW – Hoshino placed 66/1

Scottish Open – Haotong Li FRL placed at 200/1

John Deere Classic = Michael Thorbjornsen 2nd at 100/1

Open – Thriston Lawrence 600/1 to 750/1 placed, Sharma 22/1 top 20 and Jordan 10/1 top 20 and Jordan dead heat top 10.

Isco – Zac Blair 100/1 and Pierceson Coody 100/1 both lost in play off

Ireland Challenge – Jochim Lagergren 40/1 2nd lost play off

Scottish Challenge – BRT 20/1 1st and Caldwell 150/1 place

Czech Masters – BRT 80/1 6th

St. Jude – Hideki Matsuyama 33/1 1st

British Masters – Norgaard Moller 45/1 1st

BMW PGA – Matteo Manessero 40/1 4th, traded at 2.00 and was 3-strokes clear at 54holes.

Espana Open – Grant Forrest 80/1 and Garcia Heredia 150/1 both placed

Dunhill Links – Neergaard Petersen placed at 100/1

Black Desert Classic – FRL Kevin Streelman placed at 150/1

Indonesian – Jazz Wattananond 5th 100/1 (5) and 50/1 (10)

Bermuda – Justin Lower 22/1 5th (led by 4 after 54-holes traded 1.20)

Hong Kong – Wade Ormsby 66/1 4th and Taichi Kho 40/1 6th

Aus Open – Harrison Crowe 5th 200/1 (10) 400, Wenyl Ding 5th 55/1 60, Elvis Smylie 5th 60/1 70

Nedbank – Aldrich Potgeiter 2nd 80/1 (10) 140 traded 1.21

Alfred Dunhill – Michael Couvra 7th 180/1 (10) 400 traded 4.9



It’s been a difficult final four months of the year after Moller and Matsuyama won events in August, in fact we had four months with no outright winners but a slew of near misses.

Potgeiter springs to mind as the latest one after Lower held the 54-hole lead by several shots in Bermuda similar to Manessero at the BMW PGA.

Add, those misses to Robin Williams at 150/1 in the SDC and Ravetto who went short, with both losing to 100/1 rag Jordan Gumberg, there was more than our fair share of heartache.

We went heavy on Brian Harman in the Players and he traded low losing a close battle with Scottie Scheffler



That’s not to say we had no outright or first round leader wins in the previous eight months as Hideki Matsuyama won at 75/1 and 33/1.

First round leader markets saw us in a four way share early in the year with Haotong Li, and later in the year with Martin Kaymer both at 100/1+ while the Barnrat snagged a share in Singapore. As always with FRL betting many weeks we opt out due to the negative impact dead heats have when we have no appreciable edge.

In-between Jake Knapp won at 50/1, Katsurgawa 125/1, Elvira 80/1 while our old favourite BRT won at 20/1 in the Scottish Challenge and nearly won the week after on DP at 80/1+.

The best weekend of the year probably came without a winner when Thriston Lawrence placed at prices of 600/1+ in the Open and then in the evening Pierceson Coody and Zac Blair lost in play offs on the PGA Tour, both at 100/1+.